SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Kettering Town had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Kettering Town win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scarborough Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Kettering Town |
46.94% ( 0.05) | 24.09% ( -0.02) | 28.97% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.09% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56% ( 0.05) | 44% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.62% ( 0.05) | 66.38% ( -0.05) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.11% ( 0.04) | 18.89% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.62% ( 0.07) | 50.38% ( -0.07) |
| Kettering Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.62% ( 0) | 28.37% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.88% ( 0.01) | 64.12% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Kettering Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 3.3% Total : 46.94% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.97% |
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