SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scarborough Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
36.93% ( -0.12) | 26.25% ( 0.01) | 36.82% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.41% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.77% ( -0.04) | 51.22% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.94% ( -0.04) | 73.06% ( 0.04) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% ( -0.09) | 26.89% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.79% ( -0.12) | 62.21% ( 0.12) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.05% ( 0.05) | 26.95% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.71% ( 0.06) | 62.29% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 1-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 36.93% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.82% |
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