SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
44.39% ( 0.31) | 24.95% ( -0.07) | 30.65% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 56.19% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.05% ( 0.21) | 46.95% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.8% ( 0.2) | 69.2% ( -0.2) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.82% ( 0.23) | 21.18% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.94% ( 0.35) | 54.06% ( -0.35) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% ( -0.05) | 28.71% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.46% ( -0.06) | 64.54% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 44.4% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 30.65% |
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