Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
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