SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
46.76% ( -0.02) | 26.42% ( 0.02) | 26.82% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 49.17% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.04% ( -0.08) | 54.96% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.77% ( -0.06) | 76.23% ( 0.07) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.51% ( -0.04) | 23.49% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.49% ( -0.06) | 57.51% ( 0.07) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.26% ( -0.04) | 35.74% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.49% ( -0.04) | 72.51% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 1-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 46.76% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 1.98% Total : 26.82% |
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