Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.