SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 59.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Oxford City |
59.64% ( 0.64) | 23.29% ( -0.31) | 17.06% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 45.79% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47% ( 0.67) | 52.99% ( -0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.41% ( 0.57) | 74.59% ( -0.57) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.54% ( 0.47) | 17.46% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.07% ( 0.82) | 47.93% ( -0.82) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.47% ( -0.01) | 44.53% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.45% ( -0.01) | 80.55% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Oxford City |
| 1-0 @ 13.56% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.47% Total : 59.64% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.67% Total : 23.28% | 0-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 1.54% Total : 17.06% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
