SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Chorley |
44.09% ( 0.19) | 27.14% ( 0.01) | 28.76% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 48.33% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.35% ( -0.15) | 56.65% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.38% ( -0.12) | 77.61% ( 0.12) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.46% ( 0.03) | 25.53% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.61% ( 0.04) | 60.38% ( -0.05) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.9% ( -0.25) | 35.1% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.15% ( -0.26) | 71.84% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 44.09% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 28.76% |
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