SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Southport had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banbury United | Draw | Southport |
39.21% ( 0.12) | 25.77% ( -0.04) | 35.01% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.87% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.7% ( 0.18) | 49.29% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.64% ( 0.17) | 71.35% ( -0.17) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.26% ( 0.15) | 24.73% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.71% ( 0.2) | 59.28% ( -0.2) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.9% ( 0.05) | 27.09% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.52% ( 0.06) | 62.47% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banbury United | Draw | Southport |
| 1-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 39.21% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.01% |
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