Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 49.91%. A win for Southport had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Southport	Draw	Buxton
26.11% ( -0.01)	23.97%	49.91% ( 0)

Both teams to score 56.19% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.53% (

-0.01)

45.46% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.2% (

-0.01)

67.79% (

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.75% (

-0.01)

31.24% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.41% (

-0.01)

67.59% (

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.71% (

-0)

18.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.65% (

-0)

49.34%

Score Analysis

Southport 26.11%

Buxton 49.91%

Draw 23.97%

Southport	Draw	Buxton
1-0 @ 6.64% 2-1 @ 6.57% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.83% Total : 26.11%	1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.97%	0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.25% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.43% 0-3 @ 4.67% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.31% 0-4 @ 1.98% 2-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.46% Total : 49.91%