Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 60.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Southport had a probability of 18.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
