Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Southport had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Southport win it was 2-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
