SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Bradford Park Avenue |
56.37% ( -0.58) | 23.21% ( -0.11) | 20.42% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 51.73% ( 1.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.96% ( 1.37) | 48.05% ( -1.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.79% ( 1.24) | 70.21% ( -1.23) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.16% ( 0.29) | 16.85% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.15% ( 0.5) | 46.85% ( -0.49) |
| Bradford Park Avenue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.21% ( 1.53) | 37.79% ( -1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.43% ( 1.46) | 74.57% ( -1.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Bradford Park Avenue |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.55) 2-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.39)2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.03% Total : 56.35% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.37)2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.21% | 0-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.58% Total : 20.42% |
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