SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Boston United win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Boston United |
42.6% ( 0.2) | 26.73% ( -0.01) | 30.67% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 50.5% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.67% ( -0.03) | 54.33% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.28% ( -0.03) | 75.72% ( 0.03) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.76% ( 0.09) | 25.25% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40% ( 0.12) | 60% ( -0.12) |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.55% ( -0.16) | 32.45% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.03% ( -0.18) | 68.97% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Boston United |
| 1-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 42.59% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 30.67% |
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