SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 62.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 15.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Bradford Park Avenue |
62.21% ( -0.64) | 22.5% ( 0.5) | 15.29% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 44.44% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.18% ( -1.65) | 52.81% ( 1.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.56% ( -1.42) | 74.44% ( 1.42) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.5% ( -0.78) | 16.5% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.76% ( -1.43) | 46.23% ( 1.42) |
| Bradford Park Avenue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.22% ( -0.79) | 46.77% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.68% ( -0.61) | 82.32% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Bradford Park Avenue |
| 1-0 @ 13.9% ( 0.53) 2-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.75% Total : 62.19% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.49)2-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.6% Total : 22.5% | 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.25% Total : 15.29% |
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