Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 20.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
