SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
33.4% ( -0.09) | 26.87% ( 0.01) | 39.73% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.99% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.88% ( -0.06) | 54.12% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.46% ( -0.04) | 75.54% ( 0.04) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.53% ( -0.09) | 30.46% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.32% ( -0.1) | 66.67% ( 0.1) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% ( 0.02) | 26.67% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.08% ( 0.02) | 61.92% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.4% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.72% |
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