SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 44%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spennymoor Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Hereford United |
44% ( -0.04) | 26.07% ( 0) | 29.93% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.2% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.04% ( 0.01) | 51.97% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.3% ( 0.01) | 73.71% ( -0) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.5% ( -0.02) | 23.5% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.47% ( -0.02) | 57.54% ( 0.02) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.24% ( 0.03) | 31.76% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.81% ( 0.03) | 68.19% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 44% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.47% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.93% |
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