Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 50.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.
Result | ||
Tamworth | Draw | Hereford United |
50.54% ( -0.47) | 24.87% ( 0.32) | 24.59% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 51.83% ( -0.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.49% ( -1.19) | 50.5% ( 1.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.57% ( -1.06) | 72.43% ( 1.05) |
Tamworth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.01% ( -0.66) | 19.99% ( 0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.83% ( -1.06) | 52.17% ( 1.06) |
Hereford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.78% ( -0.52) | 35.22% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.02% ( -0.55) | 71.97% ( 0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Tamworth | Draw | Hereford United |
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.78% Total : 50.54% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 24.59% |
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