SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tamworth | Draw | Alfreton Town |
51.47% ( -0.03) | 25.41% ( 0.01) | 23.12% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.67% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.11% ( -0.02) | 53.89% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.65% ( -0.02) | 75.35% ( 0.02) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.04% ( -0.02) | 20.96% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.29% ( -0.04) | 53.71% ( 0.04) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.57% ( 0.01) | 38.43% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.82% ( 0.01) | 75.18% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tamworth | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.58% 2-0 @ 9.83% ( -0)2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0)4-0 @ 2% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 51.47% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0)Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.43% 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 1.54% Total : 23.12% |
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