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National League North | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamb Ground
AT

Tamworth
0 - 1
Alfreton

FT(HT: 0-0)
Thewlis (51')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Tamworth and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boston 0-2 Tamworth
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-1 P'boro Sports
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 23.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
TamworthDrawAlfreton Town
51.47% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 25.41% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 23.12% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.11% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)53.89% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.65% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)75.35% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.04% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)20.96% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.29% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)53.71% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.57% (0.011000000000003 0.01)38.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.82% (0.010000000000002 0.01)75.18% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Tamworth 51.47%
    Alfreton Town 23.12%
    Draw 25.4%
TamworthDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 12.58%
2-0 @ 9.83% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 51.47%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.76% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 3.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.84% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.43%
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 23.12%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Boston 0-2 Tamworth
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-4 Tamworth
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Tamworth 1-2 Scunthorpe
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Tamworth 3-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, August 3 at 7.45pm in Pre-Season Friendlies
Last Game: Tamworth 3-1 West Brom
Wednesday, July 14 at 7.45pm in Pre-Season Friendlies
Last Game: Tamworth 0-4 Aston Villa
Friday, July 28 at 7.30pm in Pre-Season Friendlies
Last Game: Alfreton 2-1 P'boro Sports
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 3-1 Southport
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: South Shields 3-1 Alfreton
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 0-1 Kidderminster
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Alfreton
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 3-0 Alfreton
Wednesday, April 26 at 7.45pm in National League North


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