SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Hereford United |
33.62% ( 0.48) | 26.24% ( -0.25) | 40.14% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 53.04% ( 0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.48% ( 1.13) | 51.52% ( -1.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.68% ( 0.97) | 73.32% ( -0.97) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.96% ( 0.87) | 29.03% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.06% ( 1.06) | 64.94% ( -1.06) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.74% ( 0.39) | 25.25% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.99% ( 0.53) | 60% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.62% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.34)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 10.09% ( -0.34) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.14% |
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