Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blyth Spartans win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blyth Spartans would win this match.
Result | ||
Blyth Spartans | Draw | Hereford United |
39.82% ( -0.91) | 26.06% ( 0.29) | 34.12% ( 0.62) |
Both teams to score 53.73% ( -0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.31% ( -1.1) | 50.69% ( 1.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.41% ( -0.98) | 72.59% ( 0.98) |
Blyth Spartans Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.95% ( -0.97) | 25.04% ( 0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.28% ( -1.36) | 59.72% ( 1.36) |
Hereford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.68% ( -0.15) | 28.31% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.96% ( -0.19) | 64.04% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Blyth Spartans | Draw | Hereford United |
1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.58% Total : 39.82% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.12% |
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