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National League North | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Croft Park

Blyth Spartans
2 - 1
Hereford

Aitken (34'), Liddle (53')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cowley (41')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Blyth Spartans and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-0 Blyth Spartans
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-0 Rushall Olympic
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blyth Spartans win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blyth Spartans would win this match.

Result
Blyth SpartansDrawHereford United
39.82% (-0.906 -0.91) 26.06% (0.287 0.29) 34.12% (0.619 0.62)
Both teams to score 53.73% (-0.809 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.31% (-1.104 -1.1)50.69% (1.104 1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.41% (-0.983 -0.98)72.59% (0.982 0.98)
Blyth Spartans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (-0.967 -0.97)25.04% (0.968 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28% (-1.357 -1.36)59.72% (1.357 1.36)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68% (-0.151 -0.15)28.31% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.96% (-0.191 -0.19)64.04% (0.191 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Blyth Spartans 39.82%
    Hereford United 34.12%
    Draw 26.05%
Blyth SpartansDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 9.82% (0.162 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-0 @ 6.8% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 39.82%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.09% (0.31 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.355 0.36)
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.201 0.2)
1-3 @ 3.29% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.12%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-0 Blyth Spartans
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Warrington Town 0-2 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 4-2 Gloucester City
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 5-0 Hereford
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-0 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-2 Blyth Spartans
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-0 Rushall Olympic
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-0 Darlington
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 2-2 Hereford
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 5-0 Hereford
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-0 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 0-2 Hereford
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North


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