SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 54.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 21.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Peterborough Sports win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tamworth | Draw | Peterborough Sports |
54.5% ( -1.68) | 24.32% ( 0.56) | 21.17% ( 1.12) |
| Both teams to score 49.42% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.33% ( -0.92) | 51.67% ( 0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.55% ( -0.8) | 73.45% ( 0.8) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.13% ( -0.97) | 18.87% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.66% ( -1.65) | 50.34% ( 1.65) |
| Peterborough Sports Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.91% ( 0.64) | 39.09% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.19% ( 0.6) | 75.8% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tamworth | Draw | Peterborough Sports |
| 1-0 @ 12.3% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.27)2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.34)3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.08% Total : 54.49% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.87% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.43% Total : 21.17% |
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