SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tamworth | Draw | Chorley |
42.15% ( -1.07) | 26.86% ( 0.05) | 30.98% ( 1.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.24% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.28% ( 0.2) | 54.72% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.96% ( 0.16) | 76.04% ( -0.16) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.35% ( -0.46) | 25.65% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.45% ( -0.63) | 60.55% ( 0.63) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.57% ( 0.85) | 32.43% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.05% ( 0.94) | 68.95% ( -0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tamworth | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.15% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.98% |
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