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Tuesday, May 28
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National League North | Gameweek 8
Sep 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamb Ground
C

Tamworth
2 - 1
Chorley

Arlott-John (21'), Finn (32')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hazlehurst (90+2')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Tamworth and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-1 Tamworth
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-1 Bishop's Stortford
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.

Result
TamworthDrawChorley
42.15% (-1.07 -1.07) 26.86% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 30.98% (1.026 1.03)
Both teams to score 50.24% (0.321 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.28% (0.195 0.2)54.72% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.96% (0.163 0.16)76.04% (-0.161 -0.16)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (-0.46100000000001 -0.46)25.65% (0.463 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (-0.63200000000001 -0.63)60.55% (0.633 0.63)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.57% (0.846 0.85)32.43% (-0.844 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.05% (0.94 0.94)68.95% (-0.93899999999999 -0.94)
Score Analysis
    Tamworth 42.15%
    Chorley 30.98%
    Draw 26.86%
TamworthDrawChorley
1-0 @ 11.31% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7.7% (-0.267 -0.27)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 42.15%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.32% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 9.37% (0.145 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.18% (0.179 0.18)
0-2 @ 5.27% (0.199 0.2)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.127 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.118 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 30.98%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-1 Tamworth
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Tamworth 4-0 Hereford
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-2 Tamworth
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Tamworth 0-1 Alfreton
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 0-2 Tamworth
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-4 Tamworth
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-1 Bishop's Stortford
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 0-2 Chorley
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 3-1 King's Lynn
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 0-1 Warrington Town
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 0-0 Chorley
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 1-1 Chorley
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League North


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