SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Shields win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Shields win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | South Shields |
34.91% ( -0.36) | 24.9% ( 0.05) | 40.19% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 57.87% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.59% ( -0.29) | 45.41% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.25% ( -0.28) | 67.74% ( 0.28) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.68% ( -0.34) | 25.32% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.9% ( -0.47) | 60.09% ( 0.47) |
| South Shields Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.49% ( 0.03) | 22.51% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.92% ( 0.04) | 56.07% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | South Shields |
| 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.91% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 40.19% |
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