Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 18.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 1-0 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brackley Town in this match.
