SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brackley Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Telford United | Draw | Brackley Town |
22.29% ( 2.03) | 26.51% ( 0.83) | 51.2% ( -2.86) |
| Both teams to score 44.74% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.43% ( -0.93) | 58.57% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.86% ( -0.73) | 79.14% ( 0.73) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.11% ( 1.6) | 41.89% ( -1.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.66% ( 1.36) | 78.34% ( -1.36) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% ( -1.62) | 23.02% ( 1.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.17% ( -2.44) | 56.83% ( 2.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Telford United | Draw | Brackley Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.39)2-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.42)3-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.16)Other @ 1.14% Total : 22.29% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.61% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 14.16% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 10.4% ( -0.66)1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.59)1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.3)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.32)1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.63% Total : 51.19% |
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