SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough Sports win with a probability of 54.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 21.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough Sports would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough Sports | Draw | AFC Telford United |
54.2% ( -0.06) | 24.75% ( -0.01) | 21.05% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.04% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.58% ( 0.09) | 53.42% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.05% ( 0.07) | 74.95% ( -0.07) |
| Peterborough Sports Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.34% ( 0.01) | 19.66% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.36% ( 0.02) | 51.64% ( -0.02) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.79% ( 0.12) | 40.21% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.16% ( 0.11) | 76.85% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough Sports | Draw | AFC Telford United |
| 1-0 @ 12.85% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 54.19% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.2% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.3% Total : 21.05% |
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