SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 50.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 23.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Darlington |
50.87% ( 5.03) | 25.86% ( -1.24) | 23.27% ( -3.79) |
| Both teams to score 47.54% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.54% ( 1.87) | 55.46% ( -1.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.35% ( 1.51) | 76.65% ( -1.5) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% ( 3.11) | 21.86% ( -3.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.91% ( 4.52) | 55.09% ( -4.52) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.83% ( -2.33) | 39.17% ( 2.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.12% ( -2.26) | 75.89% ( 2.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Darlington |
| 1-0 @ 13.01% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 9.9% ( 1.04)2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.44)3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.92)3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.61)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.49)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.37)Other @ 3.05% Total : 50.86% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.54) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.64)2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.02% ( -1.16) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.65)0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.83)1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.33)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.35)Other @ 1.45% Total : 23.27% |
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