Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
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