SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Southport had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Curzon Ashton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Southport |
38.78% ( -6.09) | 26.69% ( 0.87) | 34.52% ( 5.21) |
| Both teams to score 51.76% ( -0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.77% ( -1.98) | 53.23% ( 1.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.21% ( -1.71) | 74.79% ( 1.7) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.22% ( -4) | 26.78% ( 3.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.94% ( -5.58) | 62.06% ( 5.58) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.7% ( 2.54) | 29.3% ( -2.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.73% ( 3.01) | 65.27% ( -3.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Southport |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.72)2-0 @ 6.81% ( -1.13)3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.81)3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.92)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.31)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.45)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.46)Other @ 2.16% Total : 38.78% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.59)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 9.63% ( 1.33) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.76)0-2 @ 5.91% ( 1.16)1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.51)0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.61)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.21)Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.52% |
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