Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
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