SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
33.88% ( -0.05) | 26.19% ( 0.01) | 39.92% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.25% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.72% ( -0.05) | 51.27% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.89% ( -0.04) | 73.1% ( 0.04) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% ( -0.05) | 28.75% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.41% ( -0.07) | 64.58% ( 0.07) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.74% ( -0) | 25.25% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.99% ( -0) | 60.01% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.88% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 39.92% |
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