Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 19.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Blyth Spartans win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
