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National League South | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Hornchurch Stadium

Hornchurch
1 - 0
Farnborough

Nash (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bradshaw (68')
Coverage of the National League South clash between AFC Hornchurch and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Weston 3-2 Hornchurch
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Farnborough
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 58.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 19.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for an AFC Hornchurch win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
AFC HornchurchDrawFarnborough Town
19.35% (-0.309 -0.31) 22.11% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 58.54% (0.388 0.39)
Both teams to score 53.5% (-0.25 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.18% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)44.82% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.82% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)67.17% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.93% (-0.369 -0.37)37.06% (0.368 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.15% (-0.368 -0.37)73.85% (0.36699999999999 0.37)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.01% (0.099999999999994 0.1)14.99% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.56% (0.189 0.19)43.43% (-0.191 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    AFC Hornchurch 19.35%
    Farnborough Town 58.53%
    Draw 22.11%
AFC HornchurchDrawFarnborough Town
1-0 @ 5.51% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-1 @ 5.19% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.74% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.72% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 0.91% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 19.35%
1-1 @ 10.46% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.11%
0-1 @ 10.54% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 10% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 6.33% (0.087 0.09)
1-3 @ 6.28% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3% (0.051 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.98% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.48% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 1.14% (0.024 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.13% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 58.53%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Weston 3-2 Hornchurch
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 0-0 Welling United
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 2-1 Hornchurch
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 1-0 St Albans City
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 0-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 1-3 Hornchurch
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 1-0 St Albans City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 0-2 Tonbridge Angels
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 4-1 Farnborough
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 2-0 Eastbourne
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 1-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 1-2 Farnborough
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League South


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