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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Hornchurch | Draw | Welling United |
44.73% ( 0.08) | 25.06% ( -0.06) | 30.21% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.61% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.4% ( 0.27) | 47.6% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.2% ( 0.25) | 69.8% ( -0.25) |
| AFC Hornchurch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( 0.15) | 21.3% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.75% ( 0.23) | 54.25% ( -0.23) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.66% ( 0.13) | 29.34% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.68% ( 0.16) | 65.31% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Hornchurch | Draw | Welling United |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 44.73% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.21% |
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