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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Weston-super-Mare | Draw | AFC Hornchurch |
31.87% ( 0.03) | 23.81% ( 0) | 44.31% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.75% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.77% ( 0) | 41.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.38% ( 0) | 63.62% |
| Weston-super-Mare Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.88% ( 0.02) | 25.11% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.18% ( 0.02) | 59.82% ( -0.02) |
| AFC Hornchurch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.13% ( -0.01) | 18.87% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.66% ( -0.02) | 50.34% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Weston-super-Mare | Draw | AFC Hornchurch |
| 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.55% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0)4-2 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.87% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.74% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.59% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.66% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 3.4% Total : 44.31% |
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