SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Hornchurch | Draw | St Albans City |
33.79% ( -0.13) | 24.37% ( -0.01) | 41.83% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 59.47% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.78% ( 0.02) | 43.21% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.39% ( 0.02) | 65.61% ( -0.02) |
| AFC Hornchurch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.07% ( -0.07) | 24.92% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.44% ( -0.09) | 59.55% ( 0.09) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.22% ( 0.08) | 20.78% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.57% ( 0.12) | 53.43% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Hornchurch | Draw | St Albans City |
| 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.79% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.37% | 1-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 41.83% |
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