SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 57.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Farnborough Town |
20.02% ( -0.06) | 22.91% ( -0.05) | 57.07% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.04% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.69% ( 0.13) | 47.31% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.47% ( 0.12) | 69.53% ( -0.12) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.21% ( 0.01) | 37.79% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.43% ( 0.01) | 74.57% ( -0.01) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.66% ( 0.08) | 16.34% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.06% ( 0.15) | 45.94% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Welling United | Draw | Farnborough Town |
| 1-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.72% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0)3-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.57% Total : 20.02% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.9% | 0-1 @ 11.18% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.12% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.96% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.77% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.7% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 57.06% |
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