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National League South | Gameweek 45
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Clarence Park

St Albans City
2 - 4
Worthing

Weiss (3'), Hutchinson (21')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Pearce (2'), Spong (19', 69'), Dolaghan (41')
Coverage of the National League South clash between St Albans City and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Chippenham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 1-2 Worthing
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.55%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
St Albans CityDrawWorthing
32.07% (-0.477 -0.48) 22.64% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 45.29% (0.439 0.44)
Both teams to score 65.18% (-0.381 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.55% (-0.411 -0.41)35.45% (0.414 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.5% (-0.45800000000001 -0.46)57.49% (0.46100000000001 0.46)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.78% (-0.459 -0.46)22.22% (0.463 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.36% (-0.697 -0.7)55.64% (0.7 0.7)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)16.2% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.31% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)45.68% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    St Albans City 32.07%
    Worthing 45.29%
    Draw 22.64%
St Albans CityDrawWorthing
2-1 @ 7.41% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-0 @ 5.41% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.07% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 32.07%
1-1 @ 9.85% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.75% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.6% (0.075 0.08)
3-3 @ 2.05% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 8.97% (0.064 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.136 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.96% (0.124 0.12)
1-3 @ 5.44% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-3 @ 4.09% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.62% (0.076 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.48% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.65% (0.034 0.03)
3-4 @ 0.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-5 @ 0.9% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 45.29%

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Form Guide
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Chippenham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 2-2 St Albans City
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Braintree
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-1 St Albans City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-2 Truro City
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 0-2 St Albans City
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 1-2 Worthing
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 1-3 Worthing
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 2-0 Hampton
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-5 Worthing
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 2-2 Bath City
Sunday, March 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 3-1 Worthing
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South


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