Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.55%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
Result | ||
St Albans City | Draw | Worthing |
32.07% ( -0.48) | 22.64% ( 0.04) | 45.29% ( 0.44) |
Both teams to score 65.18% ( -0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.55% ( -0.41) | 35.45% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.5% ( -0.46) | 57.49% ( 0.46) |
St Albans City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.78% ( -0.46) | 22.22% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.36% ( -0.7) | 55.64% ( 0.7) |
Worthing Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.8% ( 0.01) | 16.2% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.31% ( 0.01) | 45.68% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
St Albans City | Draw | Worthing |
2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.36% Total : 32.07% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.64% | 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 5.44% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 45.29% |
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