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National League South | Gameweek 46
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
2 - 2
St Albans City

Velvick (61'), Higgs (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hutchinson (12'), Jeffers (68')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and St Albans City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Hampton
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawSt Albans City
40.53% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 23.63% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 35.85% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Both teams to score 62.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.82% (0.017000000000003 0.02)39.18% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.49% (0.017000000000003 0.02)61.51% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)19.67% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.35% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)51.65% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.07% (0.034999999999997 0.03)21.93% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.8% (0.052 0.05)55.2% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 40.53%
    St Albans City 35.85%
    Draw 23.62%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawSt Albans City
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.09% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 40.53%
1-1 @ 10.64%
2-2 @ 6.57% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.62%
1-2 @ 8.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.32% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 35.85%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Farnborough
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 0-0 Tonbridge Angels
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-1 Truro City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 4-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Hampton
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-4 Worthing
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Chippenham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 2-2 St Albans City
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Braintree
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-1 St Albans City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South


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