SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aveley | Draw | Chesham United |
34.15% ( 0.01) | 26.58% ( 0) | 39.27% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.06% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.17% | 52.83% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.55% ( -0) | 74.45% ( -0) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% ( 0.01) | 29.34% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.68% ( 0.01) | 65.32% ( -0.01) |
| Chesham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.68% ( -0.01) | 26.32% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.54% ( -0.01) | 61.45% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aveley | Draw | Chesham United |
| 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 34.15% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 7.72% 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.88% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 39.26% |
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