SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-0 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aveley | Draw | Maidstone United |
28.39% ( 1.11) | 24.89% ( 0.37) | 46.72% ( -1.48) |
| Both teams to score 55.01% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.13% ( -0.88) | 47.88% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.95% ( -0.82) | 70.06% ( 0.82) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.22% ( 0.37) | 30.78% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.96% ( 0.44) | 67.04% ( -0.43) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% ( -0.98) | 20.54% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.95% ( -1.57) | 53.05% ( 1.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aveley | Draw | Maidstone United |
| 1-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.99% Total : 28.39% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.23)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.71% |
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