SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aveley | Draw | St Albans City |
33.28% ( -0.19) | 25.83% ( 0.04) | 40.9% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 54.31% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.14% ( -0.21) | 49.86% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.15% ( -0.19) | 71.85% ( 0.19) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.56% ( -0.23) | 28.44% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.8% ( -0.29) | 64.2% ( 0.29) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.89% ( -0.01) | 24.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.59% ( -0.02) | 58.42% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aveley | Draw | St Albans City |
| 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.28% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.9% |
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