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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Aveley win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Aveley |
42.26% ( 0.12) | 26.14% ( 0.01) | 31.6% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.72% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.35% ( -0.1) | 51.64% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.57% ( -0.08) | 73.43% ( 0.08) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.78% ( 0.02) | 24.21% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.44% ( 0.02) | 58.56% ( -0.03) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.57% ( -0.14) | 30.43% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.36% ( -0.16) | 66.63% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Aveley |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 42.26% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 8.77% 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.14% Total : 31.6% |
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