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National League South | Gameweek 21
Jan 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Stadium

Chelmsford City
1 - 0
Bath City

Blackwell (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Bath City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawBath City
44.95%24.06%30.99%
Both teams to score 59.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.25%42.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.85%65.15%
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78%19.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.08%50.91%
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59%26.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.43%61.56%
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 44.95%
    Bath City 30.99%
    Draw 24.05%
Chelmsford CityDrawBath City
2-1 @ 9.19%
1-0 @ 8.37%
2-0 @ 6.9%
3-1 @ 5.05%
3-0 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 3.36%
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-0 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 44.95%
1-1 @ 11.14%
2-2 @ 6.12%
0-0 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.05%
1-2 @ 7.42%
0-1 @ 6.76%
0-2 @ 4.5%
1-3 @ 3.29%
2-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 2%
1-4 @ 1.1%
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 30.99%

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