Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.