SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bath City | Draw | Farnborough Town |
36.19% ( -0.02) | 25.65% ( 0.03) | 38.16% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.43% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.36% ( -0.13) | 48.63% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.25% ( -0.12) | 70.75% ( 0.11) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.9% ( -0.08) | 26.09% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.85% ( -0.1) | 61.15% ( 0.1) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75% ( -0.06) | 25% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.34% ( -0.09) | 59.65% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bath City | Draw | Farnborough Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 36.19% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 38.16% |
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