SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Bath City |
39.94% ( -0) | 25.05% ( -0.01) | 35.01% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.37% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.93% ( 0.03) | 46.07% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.62% ( 0.03) | 68.37% ( -0.04) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.07% ( 0.01) | 22.92% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.31% ( 0.02) | 56.68% ( -0.03) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.42% ( 0.02) | 25.57% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.56% ( 0.03) | 60.44% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Bath City |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% 1-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.94% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.04% | 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.01% |
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