SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Braintree Town had a probability of 20.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Braintree Town win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Braintree Town |
55.44% ( 0.01) | 23.74% ( 0.01) | 20.81% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.65% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.23% ( -0.05) | 49.77% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.22% ( -0.05) | 71.78% ( 0.05) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.19% ( -0.02) | 17.81% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.46% ( -0.03) | 48.53% ( 0.03) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.62% ( -0.05) | 38.38% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.87% ( -0.04) | 75.13% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Braintree Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.85% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 3.49% Total : 55.43% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.74% | 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0)0-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 1.51% Total : 20.81% |
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