SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braintree Town | Draw | Chelmsford City |
33.1% ( -0.09) | 26.49% ( 0.02) | 40.41% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.1% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.33% ( -0.1) | 52.66% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.69% ( -0.09) | 74.31% ( 0.09) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.06% ( -0.11) | 29.94% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.96% ( -0.14) | 66.04% ( 0.14) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.37% ( -0.01) | 25.63% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.47% ( -0.01) | 60.53% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braintree Town | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 33.1% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.4% |
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